
Menu
Global warming: How high are the stakes?
Climate change. Or not. You decide.
Global warming, climate change, and some key concepts and facts
- Weather versus climate (where is the temperature changing?)
- Global warming–average global increase in temperature
- Greenhouse effect and greenhouse gases (sources and sinks, climate vs weather), the atmosphere
- Glaciation (The Wallowas (to the right–East Fork of the Lostine River, carved by a glacier)
, a moulin in Greenland, diagram), cycles (precession, tilt, Eccentricity) explained
- from the plane over Greenland (glaciers, ice sheet, fjords):
- A Greenland glacier calving
- Lakes, whirlpools, and moulins
- Dark snow (and reduced albedo, below)
- Laws of thermodynamics
- First, energy can be neither created nor destroyed–it’s just transformed.
- Second, transformation as suggested is usually from a ‘higher’ to ‘lower’ quality of energy (entropy). For instance, hydroelectricity is used to turn on a light bulb, which gives off heat–as well as light. The heat is often unusable, a ‘waste product.’ Where does it go??
- Some effects (see NASA’s page)
- rise in sea levels (how would this affect human settlements?)
- Maldives, Kiribati, Marshall Islands (hundreds of Marshallese live in Union County)
- Ever heard of a moulin? Ice bridge? Been to Greenland lately? Arctic ice melt
- severe weather (what’s happening where?)
- coral bleaching (caused by warmer oceans)
- Acidification of oceans, possible changes in ocean currents (AMOC)
- Thawing permafrost (considerable land mass involved) releases methane (what’s happening in Siberia)
- Altered climates (what will this to do plant and animal habitats, life?)
- Spread of diseases

Key questions
- Is warming actually occurring? At what pace? Where? How fast?
- Is it caused by humans (CO2 concentrations and the famous Keeling Curve, 1000 years back, 24,000 years, and much longer)?
- Is it a social problem (what are some trends?)
- What are some anthropogenic causes?
- What groups are harmed (human and non-human species)?
- Who benefits from the status quo? (fossil fuel industries, automotive industry, utilities, petrochemicals/oil and gas, transportation, advertising, American consumers (and others in industrial countries), media, etc.
- ‘Framing‘ global warming as a social problem
- Astroturf and corporate front groups (CEI ads, ‘skeptic organizations‘), ‘astroturf‘
- Hiring scientists to discredit scientific consensus (Fred Singer, Stephen Milloy’s ‘junk science‘ website–one goal? Sow doubt)
- Language–‘global warming’ versus ‘climate change‘–does how we talk about it affect public perceptions?
- Scientific Community — Union of Concerned Scientists, AAAS, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
- News media
- Making warming seem cool
- The effects of persuasion attempts–many Americans are indifferent
- Framing the debate (Greg Craven’s video)–what if we ‘re-framed’ this as a choice among risks with different scales of consequence
- Craven’s ‘false positive’–the planet stops warming, and we took no action (few harms result); we took action, and warming stopped (economic harms prevail)
- Craven’s ‘false negative’–the planet continues warming, and we took action (possibly staving off serious climate change. Possibly); the planet warms, and we took no action (disasters on a global scale)
- Which is an acceptable risk?
- Skeptics’ claims
- ‘Framing‘ global warming as a social problem