Global warming: Understanding the scientific case, concepts

Global warming, climate change, key concepts and facts

Some effects (see NASA’s page)

Laws of thermodynamics

    • First, energy can be neither created nor destroyed–it’s just transformed.
    • Second, transformation as suggested is usually from a ‘higher’ to ‘lower’ quality of energy (entropy). For instance, hydroelectricity is used to turn on a light bulb, which gives off heat–as well as light (some kinds more than others). The heat is often unusable, a ‘waste product.’ Where does it go??

If the role of the oceans in climate change needs more emphasis, look at this image of the ‘wet’ side of the Earth (courtesy of Google Earth):

Image

Other impacts

Elephant Island
Key questions, issues
  • Is warming actually occurring? At what pace? Where? How fast? Anthropogenic causes (and urban-rural population trends and energy use)
  • Is it caused by humans (CO2 concentrations and the famous Keeling Curve, 1000 years back, 24,000 years,  and much longer)?
  • Key sources
  • Sinks–Where is carbon stored?
    • In vegetation (tropical forests are critical, because they are multi-layered and lush with carbon-fixing plants, and they do not have a dormant season as many plants in the temperate [upper latitude] regions; plankton in the ocean fix carbon, but they also die, sink, and can change the pH in the ocean, making it more acidic and perilous for shellfish; when tropical forests are replaced by grasslands [that is, when ranching and grazing replace the forest ecosystem], their capacity to store carbon is greatly diminished)
    • Other natural sinks include soil (though less so where annual, industrial cropping prevails), permafrost (frozen soil, which is melting in the upper latitudes and releasing large amounts of methane, see links above)

Impacts–extreme weather and disasters
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Related to social problems
  • What are some anthropogenic causes?
  • What groups are harmed (human and non-human species)?
  • Who benefits from the status quo? (fossil fuel industries, automotive industry, utilities, petrochemicals/oil and gas, transportation, advertising, American consumers (and others in industrial countries), media, etc.
  • Framing‘ global warming as a social problem
    • Astroturf and corporate front groups (CEI ads, ‘skeptic organizations‘), ‘astroturf
    • Hiring scientists to discredit scientific consensus (Fred Singer, Stephen Milloy’s ‘junk science‘ website–one goal? Sow doubt)
    • Language–‘global warming’ versus ‘climate change‘–does how we talk about it affect public perceptions?
    • Scientific Community — Union of Concerned ScientistsAAASIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • News media
    • Making warming seem cool
    • The effects of persuasion attempts–many Americans are indifferent
    • Framing the debate (Greg Craven’s video)–what if we ‘re-framed’ this as a choice among risks with different scales of consequence
      • Craven’s ‘false positive’–the planet stops warming, and we took no action (few harms result); we took action, and warming stopped (economic harms prevail)
      • Craven’s ‘false negative’–the planet continues warming, and we took action (possibly staving off serious climate change. Possibly); the planet warms, and we took no action (disasters on a global scale)
      • Which is an acceptable risk?
    • Skeptics’ claims

Effects of industrialization? The last 100 vs previous 1000 yrs of avg. global temperatures